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analyst claims airtours lacks understanding

(14 December 2001)

AIRTOURS faces a bleak future according to predictions made at last week’s Pan-European Leisure Travel Industry conference.

Leisure analyst Andrew Monk accused the travel giant of weak management under group chief executive Tim Byrne, and criticised its huge debts and lack of understanding of the specialist market.

Thomson and Thomas Cook also received similar batterings at the conference, organised by Access and held at London’s Café Royal.

Monk said: “Airtours was the biggest winner of the last 15 years but its management is no longer flavour of the month with the City.

“Some of the major companies have destroyed specialist businesses by chucking them in with their mainstream businesses. You have to handle specialists with care.”

Speaking from the audience Airtours UKLG chief executive Richard Carrick called Monk’s criticism “outrageous”.

“We have just declared record profits and all my specialist businesses have made money and will make even more next year,” he said.

Monk’s predictions suggest a reversal in fortunes for the big players of recent years who have capitalised on the mass market, with operators such as First Choice, Kuoni, the newly-merged Bridge The World/Travelbag group and the low-cost carriers emerging long-term winners.

About 14 million UK passengers go on mass-market holidays every year, compared to 7-8 million on specialist holidays, but margins made on the latter are much higher.

Monk, a broker specialising in First Choice with bank ABN Amro, added: “I believe the future will be different. The new game for the next 15 years is the specialist market and consolidation of it.

“It will include low-cost carriers, which I believe will become part of the holiday market but not necessarily compete with the mass market.”

Monk predicted the rumoured tie-up between Airtours and First Choice, which is dependent on a European Commission ruling which could come as early as the spring of next year, was less than 50% likely to go ahead. He added there are other companies First Choice could merge with.

“I would not rule out them getting together but there are a lot of companies First Choice could get into bed with,” he said, hinting Kuoni, Thomas Cook or Thomson could be considered.

 

Juliet Dennis